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Is Taiwan's Central Bank About to Tighten?
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Taiwan’s central bank left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 1.25% in their September meeting. The bank has kept rates steady since February, after rapidly reducing them by a cumulative 237.5 basis points in seven installments since June 2008. Rates are presently at record levels in nominal terms, and close to the lows briefly reached in the mid 1990s in inflation-adjusted terms.
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Francisco Larios
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September 25th 2009
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Brazil: Industrial Output Plummets
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Brazil’s industrial production dropped
sharply in November (6% year-on-year),
led by a double-digit fall in auto
production—although it is clear that the
abrupt decline was not just an auto
sector-related phenomenon; the USoriginated
credit shock had a nearly
immediate impact of such magnitude as
to induce a contraction of nearly all
segments of industry during November.
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Francisco Larios
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February 10th 2009
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Korea: Central Bank Easing, Economy in Recession
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As expected, the Bank of Korea (BoK) cut its Base Rate
by 50 basis points to 2.50%. This was the fifth cut in as
many meetings, which have brought the Base Rate down
by a cumulative 275 basis points since October.
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Francisco Larios
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January 9th 2009
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GED
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Inside: Cover Story: ECB: Readying to Ease? - Focus on Emerging Markets: Lessons from the 2001 Recession
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Andrew Wroblewski ,
Francisco Larios
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October 3rd 2008
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Philippines April Exports: some implications
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Surprising on the up-side and offsetting most of the March 6.6% year-on-year drop, Philippine exports grew by 4.9% in April.
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Samuel Sidenbladh
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June 10th 2008
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Regarding the acceleration of China's retail sales
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Exceeding expectations, China’s retail sales grew by 22.0% year-on-year in April, the fastest pace in over nine years.
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Francisco Larios
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May 13th 2008
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Korea: Will the Bok cut rates? (revised)
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As expected, the Bank of Korea (BoK) voted to leave its benchmark interest (the uncollateralized overnight rate) unchanged at 5.0% following its latest policy meeting. The BoK has now left policy on hold since August 2007.
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Francisco Larios
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May 8th 2008
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Emerging Markets: Trends, Risks and Some Investmen
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The emerging market world appears more inflationary than recessionary at present. There is still little evidence of damage from the US recession.
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Francisco Larios
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May 6th 2008
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Indonesia's Inflation Rises
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On the back of a 0.57% month-on-month gain, Indonesia’s CPI inflation rose from 8.17% year-on-year in March to 8.96% in April, clearly above market expectations.
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Francisco Larios
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May 2nd 2008
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Korea: Is The Recovery Strengthening?
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Data on production of both goods and services suggest that the Korean economy enters 2008 on a strengthening path.
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Francisco Larios
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January 18th 2008
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